You would think that after the disasters in Afghanistan and Iraq that Republicans would have learned that starting a war in that part of the world is a Really Bad Idea (tm). But no. After utterly failing to bring about regime change in both its eastern and western neighbors, the Trump administration is winding up to try yet again again in Iran. Maybe the third time will be the charm, but I'll give long odds against.
>Maybe the third time will be the charm, but I'll give long odds against.
ReplyDeleteLook at you, using inductive reasoning . . ..
Manifestly not, because if I were I could not even admit the possibility of the outcome being different this time.
Delete[Inductive probability](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inductive_probability)
DeleteBut the empirical rate of success for the U.S. launching wars in the Middle East is zero, so there is no inductive justification for even considering the possibility that the outcome might be different this time.
DeleteBTW, Blogger comments don't do Markdown. You have to write HTML.